Thomas Power makes the assertion that there will be no jobs by 2030 in the excellent Smarta ebook Smartest Brains 2010 and beyond!
Meanwhile Seth Godin pleads with us to become indispensable in his latest book Linchpin arguing that the Industrial Age model of work is over – therefore if your current job involves tasks that can be broken down into process-driven bits then you can kiss this job goodbye in the not too distant future due to a combination of globalisation and automation.
Are they right? Dan Pink argued along similar lines a few years back in A Whole New Mind and there’s little doubt that our concept of work has to change in today’s Knowledge Economy. We are now paid to think rather than do.
I suspect that by 2030 manual jobs will still exist at the lower end but perhaps the real risk lies in store for middle-managers and professionals with process driven roles. We have already seen this emerging in the latest recession with the introduction of the 4 day work week and mass redundancies. Highly educated professionals, particularly those in their late 40s-50s who have followed the accepted path, have been left feeling disillusioned – and unsure where to turn next…
Has the Industrial Age managed to turn us all, including educated professionals, into dependants? If so, we now need to rediscover our latent entrepreneurial talents and tolerance for change and instability (not something that most of us are naturally predisposed towards).
I believe we will see 2 primary worker-types emerge over the next 10-20 years:
The highly networked worker represents an entrepreneurial type. Someone who runs one or more businesses, probably mostly outsourced. This would also encompass certain professionals who are deep specialists in their area of expertise and are called into teams to work on specific assignments on a project-by-project basis. These people are the more entrepreneurial types and may well have left the corporate world to do their own thing at some stage in the future anyway.
The biggest change would be for the newly labelled portfolio worker. These are the people who would have quite happily worked for the same company for life – or at least for many years, perhaps choosing only to move on to another steady job if things changed for the worse or there was an opportunity for promotion and progression elsewhere. Rather than have one job – they might end up with 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 day-jobs per week? A day here and a day there.
The latter model may initially sound unappealing, however, as I discussed with Ian Sanders, adopting a portfolio or plurality approach to work opens up new and exciting opportunities. Imagine if your average week went from working 9-5 for the same company to say:
Think how much Company A would benefit from a fresh, revitalised worker plus the insights gained from the plurality of work. Likewise, from the portfolio worker’s perspective, think about the variety enjoyed in a working week by adopting a portfolio or freeformer approach.
It is easy to paint a gloomy picture of the future of work. We need to remind ourselves that the Industrial Age has only been in existence for 100+ years and we were self-sufficient for 1000’s of years before this Age of Dependency.
By preparing ourselves now both mentally and practically, the future of work looks exciting and I suspect that in years to come people will look back and think that the concept of a Job for Life was a missed opportunity rather than the panacea that we all grasp after today.
Look forward to your comments and thoughts.
It’s a snip at just $499 but we seem to forget that most people already have perfectly decent laptops or PCs at home. Yet you can bet your bottom dollar that millions of these things will fly off the shelf once released later this year – but why? What is it that Apple have become so masterful at that they can create a roaring demand for something that people don’t (truly) need?
For me, there are 3 key traits of the ipod – iphone -ipad:
Underpinning all 3 is the willingness to strip commonly accepted everyday items down to their bare bones and to start again – true innovation thinking. They did this with the mp3 player, the mobile phone and now the laptop / netbook.
So what lessons can we learn from Apple’s approach to business?
What’s your take on the launch of the ipad and ensuing media frenzy? Why has it captured everyone’s attention? As entrepreneurs, business owners and ambitious employees, what lessons can we learn from this?
Ian Sanders is an entrepreneur, ideas guy, marketing bloke, business potentialiser, unplan evangelist, specialist in creative industries and author!
You can either listen to the podcast from your computer now or you can subscribe to listen to this and future episodes on your ipod, smart phone or mp3 player at your convenience – all for free.
In our 20 minute chat, topics covered with Ian include:
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Credits: Thanks to Ian Sanders for this week’s show + music used in the BusinessN2K podcast is by Viba – In the Orchard lies a Secret – available as a free download and is released under a Creative Commons Licence
You may think that you are in charge of your business, however, in the digital age of social media where anyone has the power to comment on your business and influence both local and global opinion (either via blogs, Twitter, forums, Facebook etc), is this still the case?
There have been many recent high-profile incidents where global brands have been forced to change direction commercially or, at the very least, acknowledge the comments and feedback of disgruntled customers whether they wanted to or not e.g. Dell, Apple are a amongst a distinguished line-up of apologetic global brands.
A few harsh and frank words typed into a blog, Facebook, Twitter or a video review posted to YouTube has the power:
There is nothing you can do to stop this – and why should you?
Feedback is a gift after all whether positive or negative. It is how you deal with negative feedback that is key when the eyes of the world are watching…
A recent study showed that potential customers warmed more to businesses who had negative feedback but took proactive steps to remedy the complaints compared to those that bathed solely in positive feedback. However, for this strategy to be effective it is vital that you are listening for comments made online about your business – and act on it (quickly).
A good example is my local hostelry, The Swan Hotel in Tarporley. A thoroughly nice country pub and hotel with largely 4-5 stars on Trip Advisor. However, scroll down through the recent reviews (as most people do) and you can’t help but be drawn to a review that gives 1 star and says “Child unfriendly”. Read on and the reviewer goes on to berate the hotel and service for a whole host of cock-ups. Left unattended this review leaves a huge black mark against the rest of the positive reviews and, on personal a note as a father, I’m sure I would be scouring through for alternative child friendly options.
The good news is that the owners of the Swan Hotel were listening and promptly posted the following apology under the review:
Problem (not only) solved but turned into a positive.
Be under no illusion, you are no longer in charge of how your business is perceived. Your business will be held accountable for every action it takes and it will receive continual feedback. Your job as business owner, manager or employee is to listen, respond, engage and use the feedback to continually improve and adapt your products and services.
In this way, your millions of managers can help keep your business on track far better than you could alone.
What improvements to your business could you focus on implementing for the week ahead?
Here are 3 suggestions:
Any further suggestions?
As a practising chartered accountant and tax advisor, I am finding that the ability to reach out and service clients via The Cloud is getting easier (and even more fun).
Two recent examples from the past week:
Who would have thought this way of working would be possible only a couple of years ago?
Example 1 could not have happened as I was not in the office at the time. Example 2 would have meant a significant delay and frustration for my client awaiting my return to the office etc. In both cases, these tools enabled me to be more responsive and allowed me to work without being chained to my desk.
Professionals need to be out of the office supporting the business community and these tech tools are allowing this to become a reality.
On a personal note, many of my clients are technology companies and they (quite rightly) expect their advisers to operate and work utilising similar tools – great news for me!
What might this mean for the way professionals work in the (near) future?
An initiative that aims to put Manchester at the forefront of UK business competitiveness by laying the foundations for exciting, innovative digital and technology-based businesses to flourish. This will be achieved by leading the pack (well, a close second behind North Wales) in laying state-of-the-art fibre networks to deliver blistering broadband speed for businesses (and residential users). To put things in perspective, the example was given by Geo, Chief Executive, Chris Smedley (the company that will lay the cables) of a residential user seeking to download a typical 4GB movie – today this would practically take all day to download whereas this could be downloaded in just 46 seconds once the new networks are laid!
Dave Carter (Head of Manchester Digital Development Agency) in particular roused the audience with an impassioned plea for Manchester to lead the charge, citing frustration over push-backs and retorts such as:
References to “iPhone to iManc” and the quest to follow the likes of Stockholm and Amsterdam to become Smart Cities were also crowd-pleasers.
I sensed that the excitement was mixed with a little frustration when the test-bed area was shown as a disappointingly small pocket of North Manchester – before being extended across Manchester in due course. Equally, the innovative idea of using existing sewerage and tram line systems to lay the networks rather than causing the disruption of digging up roads etc was tinged with concern when a throw-away comment was made by Chris Smedley that they still needed to reach agreement with United Utilities plc who own the sewerage systems …. a point that was picked up by a member of the audience during the Q&A.
Brendan Dawes (Creative Director of Magnetic North) made the poigniant point that he looked forward to the day when he could move on from living in what sometimes appears to be a Victorian Age and enjoy the advancements of living in a digital 21st Century e.g. he currently wakes up in a Victorian town to travel to work on a Victorian tramline to admire the Victorian Manchester architechture – “if only the wireless 3G network would allow Spotify to work properly whilst sitting on the tram!”
Another discussion which sparked interest was the notion that truly opening up to the potential of the digital age could allow individuals (young and old) to make game-changing products and services. Digital business is a leveller in providing a level playing field for both small and BIG corporate businesses. Reference was made by Brendan to a young guy who he met at SXSW who said he was leaving Apple to set up a new business with Jack Dorsey (co-founder of Twitter). This business turns out to be the recently launched Square – a game-changing business that is set to blow credit card providers and potentially even cash into the dark ages:
“and this was created by a kid and NOT some corporate team in suits working for one of the major banking institutions.”
A great point well made.
If you’ve yet to see the potential of Square – here’s a taster:
I had to leave the event promptly for a client meeting so I was unable to hang around to chat, however, I couldn’t help but feel that this was the right sentiment and that things are going in the right direction but we need to see the test-bed site rolled out as soon as possible before a) there is the risk of loss of momentum and / or b) the nay-sayers sense weakness and put the brakes on. There is also a potential change in government that could derail this ambitious project given public and fiscal tightening.
Let’s hope that the first fibre networks are laid as soon as possible as I believe that what might seem like a bold move now is likely to be viewed as one of the best things that Manchester ever did in years to come (like the Manchester Ship Canal).
Please share your views.
I enjoyed a great catch-up with the Managing Director (MD) of a (target) company of mine today. This family owned business is a leading advanced engineering company in the North West and the MD’s insights into business and the way things are changing is always sharp and insightful.
We discussed the economic challenges of the past 12 months and, given the long life-cycle of procuring and then manufacturing their products he saw the next 6-12 months as a period of “consolidation”. Many of their competitors had already been squeezed out, although he suspected there would be more to come – especially as businesses who survive then suffer from over-trading as the market (hopefully) returns “in around 2012” – the mantra Cash is King will remain as crucial as ever.
What was most interesting was the sense of cohesiveness mixed with a strong focus and direction that he was building within the organisation. The tough times over the past 12-18 months have clearly made them much more focused on their core strengths and therefore more inclined to sub-contract the work that they do not believe they can do as well – this is brave but strategically right for the longer term. Likewise they are actively seeking opportunities to assist other engineering firms with their expertise and resource to help meet demands or short term resource needs. A flexible approach that the MD could see being a key growth area in the business.
They have also continued along a path of identifying and nurturing new and emerging engineering talent within the North West – an area which is of strategic importance for them over the longer term but which is clearly already bringing success. This commitment to supporting early stage engineering ideas and businesses is crucial to the future of the North West economy and is refreshing to see within a long established family company.
Picking up on the team cohesiveness, the MD explained how his choice of location for their new offices was largely dictated by where his team live (“we really wanted to keep them”) and how he would like to increase the commitment of the business to social responsibility by allowing staff to complete 4 week sabbaticals on hands-on roles such as building orphanages in Africa in the not too distant future – all on full-pay. Notwithstanding such lofty goals, the MD was both surprised and warmed by the team’s response to his impromptu decision to give all staff an extra 2 days holiday over Christmas this year – “I’ve handed out pretty decent bonuses in the past and have been greeted with a “thanks (but I’ve earned it)” kind of response but was stunned by the response to this gesture!”
A great business with a great leader. We need more like it.
Riffing off Seth Godin (and his collaborators’) contributions to the fantastic and recently published What Matters Now ebook, I thought I would add my one-pager (should Seth have asked me to contribute – maybe next time huh?)
What Matters Now?
Making meaning through business. Solving global problems. Engaging people in work that fulfills them. Making cool stuff. Existing for more than making a profit. Businesses that make meaning. Business can have soul.
Big business (used) to make the rules. They made stuff that generates the biggest profits. Enroll staff to work and make the stuff. Pump millions of £s into advertising to make people want to buy the stuff that the big companies are making. It has no enduring meaning. Everyone knew it, there just wasn’t the ready means to challenge or change it (you needed money, and lots of it). Business lost soul.
The internet has changed everything. It allows mom and pop businesses to flourish from the kitchen table. It allows people who might otherwise never meet to collaborate to make cool stuff. To put passion into business. To build businesses that make a difference to society. To the world. To challenge (slow, lumbering) big businesses through the delivery of new services or products, unparalled customer service and an overarching authenticity and meaning that resonates with customers. Business can use soul for competitive advantage.
The internet has also added one other killer advantage for small business: low cost. There is now nothing stopping small ‘kitchen table’ businesses from competing side by side with major established big businesses. Cool stuff can be made and then marketed online before being shipped to a global customer base whilst consulting services can be delivered globally via the cloud. The costs and overheads of establishing and running small businesses today are low (and are getting lower). Meanwhile big businesses have large, costly, unwieldly infrastructures built over many years to meet the demands of the old 20th century economy. Business soul is indiscriminate – it favours business of all shapes and sizes.
We are standing at the threshold of a huge opportunity. We can now focus on building and supporting throngs of small businesses that matter. Businesses that solve global problems and needs. Businesses that can stay small because being big is no longer a necessary constituent of being globally successful. Businesses that engage and enthuse their people. Businesses that make meaning ahead of profit. In a nutshell, business with soul.
You often hear successful CEOs say: “I couldn’t have done it without my team” or “We’re a People Business and our people are our greatest asset”. These hugely successful businesses all appear to have great people.
But is it the luck or skill of the CEO in finding these “great people” or is it that great businesses draw out the great in people?
I believe it is the latter – let me explain:
A great business has a clear and compelling vision. It has a mission. A mantra. A reason for existing. It is (or aims to be) the best in the world at whatever it does. It makes a difference. A contribution to society. The World.
A great business infuses a passion in those that work for it. They can clearly see the vision in front of them. They want to see the vision fulfilled. To see the difference being made or the problem solved. This is not ‘work’ in the ‘clock-in, clock-out sense’, this feels more like a ‘calling’. Going to work brings a sense of fulfilment. A strong team dynamic is established as people work together in line with the shared vision.
A great business draws out the great qualities of the people that work there. People feel great. People become great. In turn, businesses become great.
So are you a “people business” and if so, what are you doing to build a great business that allows your great people to flourish?